AECI Limited: Trading Statement for the Year Ended 31 December 2024

By paragraph 3.4(b)(i) of the JSE Limited Listings Requirements, Shareholders are advised that AECI is satisfied that a reasonable degree of certainty exists that the financial results for the period to be reported upon will differ by at least 20% from the financial results for the year ended 31 December 2023 (previous corresponding period).
AECI is in the process of finalising its financial results for the year ended 31 December 2024 (the period), which results are expected to be released on the Stock Exchange News Service of the JSE Limited (SENS) on or about 26 February 2025.
2024, a year of strategy execution and transition for AECI
2024 has been a pivotal year for AECI as we continue executing our transformation strategy to reposition the Group for sustainable value creation. Following the strategic roadmap outlined in November 2023, we have made significant progress in optimising our portfolio, enhancing operational efficiencies, and delivering on key shareholder expectations.
While the expected financial results reflect a year of transition, our performance, excluding non-recurring impacts, is aligned with our long-term strategy. The anticipated results reflect the impact of strategic divestments, transformation investments, and one-off impairments, all of which position the Group for stronger future performance.
The Group is expected to deliver stable operational performance, with AECI Chemicals expected to report earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) improvement of ~25%, driven by stringent cost controls and increased efficiencies notably in AECI Agri Health and AECI Water. AECI Mining is expected to report ~13% lower EBITDA – as previously reported, earnings, particularly in the first half of 2024, were impacted by R204 million once-off costs, which included alternate sourcing of ammonium nitrate solution during planned plant shutdowns. Pleasingly, the AECI Mining EBITDA performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 improved in comparison to the two preceding quarters, as well as the comparative fourth quarter of 2023, due to a strong performance improvement in Central Africa and Australia-Asia. This positive performance is expected to continue into the new financial year. The execution of strategy projects is already positively contributing towards core business operational performance.
Reclassification of AECI Much Asphalt to discontinued operations
As communicated on 4 November 2024, AECI had entered into a Share Purchase Agreement with, inter alios, Old Mutual Private Equity to dispose of 100% of its shareholding in Much Asphalt (Proprietary) Limited (AECI Much Asphalt) for an estimated final consideration of R1 100 million (subject to any final adjustments on the locked-box structure). The sale is progressing as expected, with all regulatory approvals now obtained. The remaining condition precedent (finalisation of the locked-box exercise) is expected to be met in the first half of 2025.
As a result, by IFRS 5 (Non-current Assets Held for Sale and Discontinued Operations), AECI Much Asphalt has been classified as a discontinued operation, and prior year figures have been restated accordingly.
Earnings Guidance
By paragraph 3.4(b)(i) of the JSE Limited Listings Requirements, Shareholders are advised that AECI is satisfied that a reasonable degree of certainty exists that the financial results for the period to be reported upon will differ by at least 20% from the financial results for the year ended 31 December 2023 (previous corresponding period).
AECI expects to report:
  • A basic loss per share from continuing and discontinued operations of between 241 cents and 295 cents compared to basic earnings per share from continuing and discontinued operations of 1 112 cents for the previous corresponding period;
  • basic earnings per share from continuing operations of between 237 cents and 289 cents compared to basic earnings per share from continuing operations of 1 043 cents (restated) for the previous corresponding period, being a decrease of between 77% and 72%; and
  • basic loss per share from discontinued operations of between 524 cents and 537 cents compared to basic earnings per share from discontinued operations of 69 cents (restated) for the previous corresponding period.
The decrease in basic earnings for the period compared to the previous corresponding period is primarily due to the following key factors in the underlying business:
Continuing operations
  • R860 million (R701 million net of tax, or 664 cents per share) in non-recurring costs, including the following:
    • R467 million in transformation project costs;
    • R186 million in divesture costs;
    • R204 million of investment was spent on statutory shutdowns and
    • R56 million (2023: R159 million) of AECI Schirm Germany turnaround spend; partially offset by insurance recoveries of R53 million (2023: R184 million); and
  • Anticipated recognition of non-cash impairments of R377 million (R340 million net of tax, or 322 cents per share), mainly relating to AECI Schirm Germany and AECI Mining.
Discontinued operations
  • R732 million net of tax (or 694 cents per share) of non-cash impairments relating to the fair value loss on the sale of AECI Much Asphalt.
While non-cash impairments negatively impact reported earnings, they are reflecting the strategic repositioning of the Company to create long-term shareholder value.
The decrease in basic earnings is partially offset by the Transformation Management Office’s delivery of ~R400 million (~R292 million net of tax, or 276 cents per share) EBITDA contribution.
Other
The Company is expecting an elevated effective tax rate from continuing operations of ~71%, driven by non-deductible expenses, non-cash impairments from continuing operations (as disclosed above), and foreign withholding taxes.
Headline earnings
The Group expects to report headline earnings per share (HEPS) of between 662 cents and 770 cents compared to HEPS of 1 137 cents for the previous corresponding period, being a decrease of between 42% and 32% after adjusting for:
  • The anticipated recognition of non-cash impairments from continuing operations of R377 million (R340 million net of tax, or 322 cents per share);
  • R732 million net of tax (or 694 cents per share) of non-cash impairments relating to the fair value loss on discontinued operations, partly offset by
  • a R44 million (R34 million net of tax, or 32 cents per share) surplus on the disposal of investment property, plant and equipment from continuing operations.
Looking ahead, the Group remains focused on:
  • Executing its transformation strategy to unlock further operational efficiencies;
  • Investing in core business areas that drive sustainable earnings growth;
  • Finalising divestments and optimising the balance sheet to enhance capital allocation and
  • Reinvesting in asset health to mitigate future business disruption risks.
As previously communicated, 2025 will reflect the continued implementation of these strategic changes, with a focus on portfolio optimisation, operational efficiencies, and reinvestment in core business areas to drive sustainable earnings growth.
The financial information contained in this announcement and on which this trading statement is based has not been reviewed, reported on or audited by the Company’s external auditor.
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AECI Limited
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